Amarante vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
SAL
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
COI
0 - 2
AMA
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
SOU
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
8 - 0
SRO
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COI
2 - 3
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
SOB
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
PED
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |