Amarante vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
50
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
3 - 2
VPE
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 1
VIA
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
3 - 1
PEV
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIA
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |