Amarante vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
8º
8º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 0
AMA
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
1DE
2 - 1
AMA
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
1DE
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |