Amarante vs Pedras Rubras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
COI
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
AMA
31%
26%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARO
13%
22%
65%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PED
2 - 2
SAL
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
PED
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PED
3 - 0
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 2
PED
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |