Campeonato de Portugal Group B Round 27

Amarante vs Leça FC analysis

Amarante Leça FC
47 ELO 32
-13% Tilt -11.4%
3525º General ELO ranking 4784º
61º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
74.5%
Amarante
17.3%
Draw
8.2%
Leça FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
Amarante
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.2%
Win probability
Leça FC
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amarante
-32%
+9%
Leça FC

ELO progression

Amarante
Leça FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amarante
Amarante
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2019
CIN
Cinfães
0 - 1
Amarante
AMA
27%
27%
47%
46 38 8 0
10 Mar. 2019
AMA
Amarante
1 - 0
Marítimo II
MAR
49%
25%
26%
46 44 2 0
03 Mar. 2019
ESP
Espinho
1 - 1
Amarante
AMA
49%
25%
26%
46 47 1 0
24 Feb. 2019
LUS
Lusitano FCV
1 - 1
Amarante
AMA
54%
24%
23%
46 48 2 0
17 Feb. 2019
AMA
Amarante
2 - 0
Sporting Mêda
SPO
90%
8%
2%
46 11 35 0

Matches

Leça FC
Leça FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2019
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 0
Lusitano FCV
LUS
12%
23%
65%
26 49 23 0
10 Mar. 2019
GON
Gondomar
1 - 0
Leça FC
LEC
79%
15%
6%
26 46 20 0
03 Mar. 2019
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 0
União Madeira
UNM
7%
17%
75%
25 52 27 +1
24 Feb. 2019
GAF
Gafanha
1 - 2
Leça FC
LEC
74%
17%
9%
24 37 13 +1
17 Feb. 2019
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 2
RD Agueda
RDA
16%
22%
62%
25 43 18 -1