Amarante vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 3
AMA
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 4
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PED
2 - 3
AMA
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
GAF
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 1
GAF
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 1
ADN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
1 - 1
GAF
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |