Amarante vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
4º
31
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 0
AMA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
AMA
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
4 - 1
FAF
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
FAF
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 2
LUS
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
FAF
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |