Amarante vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
AMA
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 1
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
LUS
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 3
AMA
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CES
1 - 2
ANA
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GON
2 - 2
CES
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
CES
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
MOI
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |