Amarante U19 vs Merelinense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
6º
2º
20
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 2
AMA
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 2
VIL
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
AMA
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
5 - 1
VIL
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AMA
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRF
1 - 3
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
MER
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |