Amarante U19 vs Merelinense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
9º
8º
26
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
AMA
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AMA
5 - 3
FRE
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
AMA
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
MER
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
AMA
78%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MER
5 - 0
ARC
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
MER
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |