Amanecer vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
COR
2 - 1
AMA
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AMA
2 - 1
MOR
17%
22%
62%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PLA
3 - 1
AMA
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AMA
3 - 1
UCL
19%
24%
57%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 1
AMA
79%
15%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
CPA
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
COR
49%
25%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOR
16%
24%
60%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
VIL
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |