Amadense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OSE
6 - 2
AMA
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 3
BOC
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
BOC
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
3 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CON
4 - 2
AFP
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
3 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
AFP
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |