Alzola vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 2
ALZ
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALZ
1 - 1
LMJ
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MOS
3 - 2
ALZ
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALZ
4 - 2
BVC
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CER
0 - 4
ALZ
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
PVA
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 2
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
RYB
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
YSB
2 - 1
UNI
36%
21%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
6 - 0
GCE
57%
20%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |