Alzola vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MDE
1 - 1
ALZ
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALZ
3 - 0
AVA
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GRI
4 - 1
ALZ
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALZ
2 - 2
NAV
14%
17%
70%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 3
ALZ
31%
24%
46%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 4
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATZ
1 - 5
LUL
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 3
YSB
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
0 - 1
LUL
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 0
MBP
45%
20%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |