Always Ready vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
STR
3 - 2
REA
83%
10%
7%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
REA
0 - 2
AUR
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
REA
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
4 - 0
RPO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BLO
0 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 0
DES
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
REA
0 - 2
AUR
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
RPO
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |