Alverna vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RKH
0 - 1
ALV
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 0
ALC
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
3 - 0
ALV
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 1
JUL
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ROH
3 - 1
ALV
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
MSC
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEB
1 - 2
QUI
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
DIE
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 5
QUI
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 0
HOL
69%
17%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |