Alverna vs ADO 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
WOE
2 - 3
ALV
73%
15%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 0
DEB
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JOS
3 - 2
ALV
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ALV
7 - 0
DIE
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HOO
2 - 2
ALV
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADO
6 - 2
SWZ
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SJC
1 - 2
ADO
33%
22%
45%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 1
HOO
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
MSC
3 - 3
ADO
19%
20%
61%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SDO
1 - 2
ADO
17%
20%
64%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |