FC Alverca vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
BEL
4 - 2
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
ALV
1 - 0
CAM
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
FCP
0 - 0
ALV
89%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 2
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
UDL
0 - 0
BOA
26%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GFC
2 - 0
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
UDL
1 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 1
UDL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 1
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |