FC Alverca vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
30
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
1DE
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 2
SPC
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
ALV
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
SCP
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
1DE
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
SCP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |