FC Alverca vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
30
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
ALV
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 0
ALV
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 0
OLI
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 0
AMO
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
1DE
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 0
PER
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
4 - 3
CAL
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |