FC Alverca vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PIN
1 - 2
ALV
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
1DE
0 - 0
ALV
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 1
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
GAF
13%
19%
69%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
CAL
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
LOU
30%
24%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |