FC Alverca vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
1º
11
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
ALV
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SCP
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
1DE
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FEL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLI
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |