Alvarado vs Sansinena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALV
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALV
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALV
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +4 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CIP
3 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |