Alvarado vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 0
ALV
74%
19%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 4
MOR
23%
28%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALV
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 2
AGR
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
SJO
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 2
GBR
49%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 1
EST
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
PLA
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
CCS
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |