Alvarado vs CD Coreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 0
ALV
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
ALV
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CIP
3 - 3
ALV
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ALV
0 - 0
CIP
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
CDC
0 - 1
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
CD Coreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CDC
1 - 1
GUT
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CDC
2 - 1
UNI
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 1
CDC
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 1
CDC
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
CDC
3 - 2
ALI
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |