Alvarado vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 1
SMA
25%
28%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 5
ALV
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 0
GBR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 3
IRV
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 2
ALV
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
BEL
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2020 |
AGR
2 - 0
BAR
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
SMA
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |