Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALU
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ALU
2 - 1
LAG
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALU
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 3
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SJU
2 - 3
ALU
38%
28%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
UDM
2 - 1
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
AOI
1 - 2
UDM
33%
29%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UDM
1 - 0
VAL
30%
29%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
UDM
26%
26%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
UDM
0 - 0
OBE
43%
28%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |