Aluvión vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
AZK
3 - 0
ALU
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALU
1 - 2
TUD
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AGO
0 - 1
ALU
39%
26%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALU
3 - 1
IZA
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MIR
1 - 0
ALU
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
UDM
0 - 1
REC
50%
25%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
IDO
1 - 3
UDM
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
UDM
0 - 1
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CDU
2 - 0
UDM
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
UDM
0 - 0
AOI
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |