Aluvión vs Pradejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 4
ALU
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALU
0 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AGO
5 - 2
ALU
29%
27%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pradejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
PRA
0 - 1
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AGO
0 - 0
PRA
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PRA
5 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 0
PRA
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PRA
2 - 0
AOI
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |