Aluvión vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
OBE
4 - 1
ALU
40%
27%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDB
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALU
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ALU
3 - 0
RIV
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
ALU
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MIR
0 - 0
REC
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
IDO
0 - 1
MIR
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
MIR
2 - 0
HAR
73%
19%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CDU
3 - 3
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
MIR
0 - 1
AOI
60%
24%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |