Aluvión vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABL
2 - 2
ALU
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDL
3 - 1
ALU
36%
21%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
AOI
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
ALU
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 2
CDO
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BID
1 - 1
LOU
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
CAV
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 0
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 4
SJU
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |