Aluvión vs Lagunak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 3
ALU
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 2
ART
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BET
3 - 0
ALU
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 2
CDI
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AOI
1 - 0
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lagunak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
JUA
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
LAG
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 1
BUÑ
66%
20%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ZIR
1 - 1
LAG
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDC
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |