Aluvión vs Idoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AOI
0 - 0
ALU
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ALU
2 - 0
BUR
62%
23%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALU
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALU
3 - 0
HUA
36%
28%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALU
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
IDO
1 - 2
OBE
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AOI
1 - 1
IDO
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
IDO
2 - 2
CDA
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 3
IDO
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
IDO
0 - 1
SJU
38%
26%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |