Aluvión vs CD Muskaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 1
ALU
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ALU
3 - 1
ERR
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 1
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALU
3 - 2
CFB
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDO
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Muskaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
3 - 2
CDA
12%
17%
72%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |