Aluvión vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
ALU
2 - 0
CDA
62%
18%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAH
1 - 2
ALU
25%
20%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
3 - 3
RIV
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ALU
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDC
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 2
RIV
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CDC
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
CAV
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
6 - 1
MUR
90%
8%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDC
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |