Aluvión vs CD Ablitense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALU
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDB
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 1
CDA
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MEN
6 - 0
ALU
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALU
2 - 3
AVA
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ablitense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABL
3 - 1
PEN
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 1
ABL
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
INF
2 - 1
ABL
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ABL
0 - 1
BET
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAR
4 - 0
ABL
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |