Aluvión vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CDI
1 - 3
ALU
42%
22%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 0
AZK
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABL
0 - 1
ALU
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 0
LAG
37%
26%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 2
ALU
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AOI
2 - 3
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 0
AOI
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
AOI
1 - 3
INF
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BET
3 - 5
AOI
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AOI
0 - 0
GAR
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |