Alumni Villa Maria vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
CAA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 2
RAC
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
CAA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 2
CAA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
DES
2 - 2
CAA
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
JUU
0 - 0
TAL
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
JUU
1 - 1
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
SPB
2 - 1
JUU
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 1
JUU
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JUU
0 - 2
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |