Alumni Villa Maria vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 2
CAA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
CIP
4 - 1
CAA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
CAA
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
JUU
1 - 1
GBR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HUR
3 - 1
JUU
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JUU
2 - 0
MAI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
JUU
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
JUU
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |