Aluminij vs Zagorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
IVA
2 - 3
ALU
45%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALU
6 - 1
SMA
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 5
ALU
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
ALU
5 - 2
MNK
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SLJ
1 - 1
ALU
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zagorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ZAG
0 - 0
TRI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ZAG
1 - 2
MUR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
FCK
5 - 0
ZAG
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ZAG
1 - 3
LJU
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
ZAG
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |