Aluminij vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 1
ALU
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 0
KRS
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 5
ALU
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALU
2 - 0
SEN
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NKD
0 - 0
ALU
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
NKD
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 3
SMA
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
BEL
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KRS
1 - 0
SMA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 2
NKI
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |