Aluminij vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
64
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
74% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 2
ALU
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALU
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 2
CEL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 1
FCM
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
ALI
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
OLI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
DOM
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 3
GAL
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LUD
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
ROG
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |