Aluminij vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 1
ALU
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALU
8 - 0
DRA
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALU
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALU
8 - 0
SEN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 0
NKD
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 2
NKD
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NKV
1 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
AHM
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KRA
2 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |