Aluminij vs NK Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NKD
1 - 1
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALU
4 - 0
KRS
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
KRS
0 - 2
ALU
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
NKI
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NKD
4 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 1
NKD
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
NKD
33%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
NKD
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NKD
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |