Aluminij vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
48
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 0
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 4
CEL
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 0
MAK
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 3
SAR
23%
22%
55%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 3
RUD
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
RAD
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 0
SAR
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
KOL
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
FCK
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 0
FCK
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |