Altstätten vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altstätten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SEU
4 - 0
ALT
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 2
LIN
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UST
0 - 0
ALT
65%
19%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 5
FRA
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GOS
2 - 1
ALT
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
SIR
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SEU
2 - 1
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WID
1 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 1
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |