Altrincham vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
SOL
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 5
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
OXF
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
GLO
0 - 0
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
GAI
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
BOS
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
5 - 0
WOR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |