Altrincham vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALT
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CRA
4 - 0
ALT
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 4
RUS
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 0
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 0
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SOL
0 - 2
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 1
VAU
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VAU
0 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 1
KIN
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |