Alfter vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIA
4 - 4
ALT
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 3
VFL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
WES
1 - 2
ALT
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 0
EIL
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 1
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
H05
1 - 1
BFR
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
H05
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
H05
5 - 1
GEW
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
H05
2 - 1
HUR
37%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
H05
1 - 2
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |