Alfter vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BER
4 - 0
ALT
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
2 - 0
ALT
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
SIE
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BFR
2 - 1
ALT
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
BWF
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
H05
0 - 2
DUR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 0
VFL
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SVD
5 - 3
DUR
61%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
BER
18%
19%
64%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |